Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.026702 0.028703 0.030716 0.032892 0.035173 0.037493 0.040028
2026-02-01 0.022913 0.026025 0.029275 0.032910 0.036853 0.040988 0.045641
2026-02-08 0.020540 0.024269 0.028267 0.032846 0.037925 0.043363 0.049600
2026-02-15 0.018686 0.022846 0.027406 0.032737 0.038758 0.045312 0.052948
2026-02-22 0.017207 0.021697 0.026718 0.032691 0.039548 0.047118 0.056052
2026-03-01 0.015771 0.020483 0.025853 0.032347 0.039914 0.048375 0.058478
2026-03-08 0.014342 0.019180 0.024796 0.031698 0.039854 0.049086 0.060231
2026-03-15 0.013054 0.017965 0.023772 0.031018 0.039695 0.049630 0.061745
2026-03-22 0.012574 0.017709 0.023865 0.031642 0.041051 0.051920 0.065277
2026-03-29 0.011890 0.017153 0.023560 0.031753 0.041771 0.053447 0.067907
2026-04-05 0.011182 0.016528 0.023133 0.031684 0.042249 0.054670 0.070167
2026-04-12 0.010775 0.016268 0.023144 0.032140 0.043352 0.056631 0.073303
2026-04-19 0.010080 0.015629 0.022688 0.032044 0.043831 0.057915 0.075733
2026-04-26 0.009447 0.015050 0.022295 0.032021 0.044406 0.059334 0.078358
2026-05-03 0.008855 0.014490 0.021895 0.031962 0.044912 0.060651 0.080851
2026-05-10 0.008290 0.013937 0.021477 0.031854 0.045337 0.061856 0.083200
2026-05-17 0.007793 0.013451 0.021124 0.031809 0.045827 0.063130 0.085630
2026-05-24 0.007227 0.012835 0.020567 0.031472 0.045919 0.063894 0.087420
2026-05-31 0.006602 0.012096 0.019810 0.030835 0.045598 0.064119 0.088525
2026-06-07 0.006014 0.011379 0.019052 0.030168 0.045210 0.064238 0.089481
2026-06-14 0.005865 0.011327 0.019231 0.030780 0.046511 0.066512 0.093157
2026-06-21 0.005573 0.011036 0.019053 0.030889 0.047136 0.067918 0.095739
2026-06-28 0.005248 0.010675 0.018759 0.030822 0.047516 0.069003 0.097913